Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.664891 3.074879 3.532630 4.082620 4.726873 5.459280 6.357338
2025-04-13 1.974339 2.494621 3.135361 3.986907 5.095570 6.499058 8.424621
2025-04-20 1.705840 2.292158 3.064178 4.164378 5.706995 7.815141 10.952293
2025-04-27 1.464494 2.065727 2.900503 4.158566 6.031594 8.756597 13.093907
2025-05-04 1.325163 1.949934 2.858594 4.297310 6.556816 10.034193 15.917666
2025-05-11 1.185257 1.809002 2.753445 4.314795 6.885053 11.043194 18.474578
2025-05-18 1.070423 1.688324 2.658532 4.326632 7.193378 12.049451 21.181325
2025-05-25 0.947691 1.538458 2.496185 4.200996 7.245304 12.619194 23.200434
2025-06-01 0.878293 1.466526 2.450486 4.262960 7.624842 13.808407 26.559815
2025-06-08 0.825009 1.414844 2.431312 4.365944 8.087928 15.211633 30.578632
2025-06-15 0.764404 1.343133 2.367912 4.377731 8.376695 16.317842 34.183593
2025-06-22 0.703626 1.264304 2.282328 4.335219 8.550060 17.214034 37.494577
2025-06-29 0.655435 1.210515 2.249982 4.419557 9.051306 18.992897 43.457367
2025-07-06 0.588554 1.115234 2.130451 4.319242 9.167979 20.012961 48.013590
2025-07-13 0.561736 1.093826 2.151571 4.512684 9.955758 22.686363 57.328127
2025-07-20 0.518227 1.033355 2.085329 4.506350 10.287464 24.356578 64.485903
2025-07-27 0.493671 1.008646 2.089821 4.657761 11.017996 27.152393 75.511401
2025-08-03 0.460561 0.961764 2.040540 4.676846 11.426842 29.211744 85.007267
2025-08-10 0.430420 0.917737 1.991891 4.689765 11.822424 31.320330 95.282404
2025-08-17 0.392836 0.852956 1.888492 4.552651 11.798146 32.261577 102.119696
2025-08-24 0.372560 0.825163 1.867285 4.620272 12.345048 34.967836 115.718030
2025-08-31 0.356687 0.805756 1.863497 4.732676 13.040337 38.278080 132.542547
2025-09-07 0.336340 0.773498 1.824641 4.745542 13.449709 40.798944 147.336788